METALS INDUSTRY – – – PRODUCT MIXES AND PRODUCTION COST CURRENCIES INFLUENCE 5% TO 70% ESTIMATED EARNINGS GAINS FOR DIVERSIFIED SUPER MAJORS: ANGLO-AMERICAN’S JULY 31 REPORT AS A PREDICTOR OF BHP BILLITON, RIO TINTO, VALE OR XSTRATA July 31, 2008

LOUISIANA-PACIFIC (LPX $8.78 August 4 midday, rated Neutral Weight) EARNINGS ESTIMATES RAISED DUE TO REBOUND IN OSB PRICES AND MILDLY BETTER COSTS; CONFLUENCE OF EVENTS GOING “WRONG” IN BAD UNDERLYING MARKETS; DIVIDEND OMITTED August 4, 2008

WEYERHAEUSER (WY $50.55, Neutral) REAL ESTATE WRITEOFFS TAKEN; HOUSING OUTLOOK REMAINS POOR; LARGER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED COST BASIS LEADS TO SMALLER IP GAIN, LOWER TAXES DUE AND HIGHER DEBT REPAYMENT EXPECTATIONS LEADING IN TURN TO LOWER 2008 EARNINGS BUT HIGHER …

WEYERHAEUSER (WY $50.55, Neutral) REAL ESTATE WRITEOFFS TAKEN; HOUSING OUTLOOK REMAINS POOR; LARGER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED COST BASIS LEADS TO SMALLER IP GAIN, LOWER TAXES DUE AND HIGHER DEBT REPAYMENT EXPECTATIONS LEADING IN TURN TO LOWER 2008 EARNINGS BUT HIGHER SUBSEQUENT EARNINGS FORECASTS August 8, 2008 Read more »

JUNE 2008 QUARTER 8% REBOUNDS IN MET COAL OUTPUTS FROM JUNE 2007 AND 37.7% FROM MARCH 2008 TO SIGNAL DROPS TOWARDS $750 HOT-ROLLED SHEET, $200 ASIAN MET COAL, $500 #1 BUSHELING AND $400 HEAVY MELT SCRAP STEEL; WE VIEW JULY-AUGUST …

JUNE 2008 QUARTER 8% REBOUNDS IN MET COAL OUTPUTS FROM JUNE 2007 AND 37.7% FROM MARCH 2008 TO SIGNAL DROPS TOWARDS $750 HOT-ROLLED SHEET, $200 ASIAN MET COAL, $500 #1 BUSHELING AND $400 HEAVY MELT SCRAP STEEL; WE VIEW JULY-AUGUST A “SUMMER SELLOFF” RATHER THAN END OF WORLD August 9, 2008 Read more »